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Car ownership trends and forcasts

Tanner, J.C. - Nama Orang;

Trrl Lr 799

The effects of a number of factors, including incomes and population densities, have been identified. Over riding these effects is a strong tendency for the annual percentage growth rates of car ownership to reduce as the level of ownership rises. The logistic curve model used in previous work is shown not to be suffieciently general; an alternative algebraic form is proposed which helps to reconcile an apparent inconsistency between the recent rapid slowing down of growth in Britain and other evidence that suggests that saturation is still some way off. A range of forecasts of numbers of cars is made on the basis of the new model and of alternative assumptions about future levels of economic growth and of fuel prices. With the middle assumptions, the new forecasts are somewhat lower than those issued previously, at least up to 1985. Thereafter they may be higher or lower, depending on the saturation level chosen.


Ketersediaan
#
My Library 625.7(047.31) Tan c
0000001553
Tersedia
Informasi Detail
Judul Seri
Trrl Lr 799
No. Panggil
625.7(047.31) Tan c
Penerbit
: TRRL., 1977
Deskripsi Fisik
117 p.; fig.; tab.
Bahasa
Indonesia
ISBN/ISSN
-
Klasifikasi
625.7(047.31)
Tipe Isi
-
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
-
Edisi
-
Subjek
CAR OWNERSHIP
Info Detail Spesifik
-
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab
-
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